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Thread: WEEKEND AHEAD

  1. #1
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    WEEKEND AHEAD

    W/E 30/01

    The aim of this thread is to highlight a few e/w bets at the best odds available for the weekend's major races.
    This weekend features Cheltenham's 'Trials Day' with 5 graded races on the card. Doncaster also features 3
    graded races on their card with SHISHKIN heading the Lightning Novices' Chase - unbackable at 1/3!
    Everyone is invited to share their picks/opinions in the hope to pinpoint good value bets.

    1.50 Cheltenham - PADDY POWER MILLIONAIRE TROPHY HANDICAP CHASE

    As always, a good competitive field but no obvious 'blot' as most seem to be fairly well exposed. I fully expect
    AL DANCER 7/1
    to be thereabouts despite being beaten fav. and disappointing in his last race due to being badly hampered by a faller at the 5th. His previous 2 runs to that are solid form and the handicapper has dropped him 1lb.

    2.05. Doncaster - YORKSHIRE ROSE MARES' HURDLE

    In the same ownership as Bristol De Mai, Twiston-Davies is hoping for a quick fire double with his progressive mare ZAMBELLA 8/1. She has proved to be a revelation since being switched to fences - winning her last 3 races. She reverts back to hurdles, acts on the going and is good value at current odds.

    2.25 Cheltenham - PADDY POWER MILLIONAIRE '45 SLEEPS TO CHELTENHAM' COTSWOLD CHASE

    Long considered a major trial for the Gold Cup yet no winner of this race has actually won the Blue Riband in recent years. However a decent field is carded with SANTINI heading the market. Paul Nicholls has entered YALA ENKI 10/1 in the hope of a few downpours prior to racing. Should he take part, this redoubtable stayer is guaranteed to give us a run for our money and at the current odds represents good value for e.w. backers.

    2.40 Doncaster - ALBERT BARTLETT RIVER DON NOVICES' HURDLE

    No standout performer in the field - another trial for the 'real thing' -with the forecast fav. at 11/2. Ashtown Lad heads the ratings on 135 but SHANG TAN 10/1 could prove to be the fly in the ointment. If you ignore his last running (p.u). his last win gives him strong credentials in this race. That was last November when beating Southfield Harvest 3 lengths at Ascot receiving 3 lbs. The runner up went on to be beaten a neck by the useful Jacamar giving him 3 lbs. That puts SHANG TAN's RP rating to 139 compared to Ashtown Lad's highest RP rating of 136 who is 2nd fav. for this race - just behind market leader Flash Collonges (RP rating 127).

    3.15 Doncaster - SKY BET HANDICAP CHASE

    Veteran Definitely Red heads the weights for this competitive renewal but lurking at the foot of the weights is Colin Tizzard's progressive SIZING AT MIDNIGHT 20/1. Allotted only 10-3, this likeable 9 yrs. old gelding can lift the gloom currently surrounding the stable. Winner of 2 of his 4 races this season he surely would have been involved in his last race at Wincanton but for falling 3 out in El Presente's race. A winner or two from the Tizzard stable this week would offer even more encouragement for his chances.
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 26-01-2021 at 19:27.

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    FWIW

    Recent Skybet Chase Winners



    2020 – OK CORRAL (9/1)
    2019 - GO CONQUER (8/1)
    2018 - WAKANDA (8/1)
    2017 – ZIGA BOY (10/1)
    2016 – ZIGA BOY (8/1)
    2015 – IF IN DOUBT (4/1 fav)
    2014 – RAINBOW HUNTER (25/1)
    2013 – Meeting Abandoned
    2012 – CALGARY BAY (12/1)
    2009 – BIG FELLA THANKS (9/2)
    2008 – AN ACCORDION (11/2 fav)
    2007 – SIMON (7/1)
    2006 – A GLASS IN THYNE (16/1)
    2005 – COLOURFUL LIFE (9/1)
    2004 – TYNEANDTHYNEAGAIN (7/1)
    2003 – BARRYSCOURT LAD (9/2)


    Skybet Chase Betting Trends

    14/15 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
    12/15 – Carried 11-2 or less
    12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
    12/15 – Officially rated 130 or higher
    12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
    11/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
    10/15 – Unplaced favourites
    9/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
    9/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
    9/15 – Irish bred
    8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
    8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
    5/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
    3/15 – Won last time out
    2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
    2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
    2/15 – Winning favourites
    2/15 – Trained by Alan King
    The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 9/1


    Other Stats:
    4 of the last 15 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
    5 of the last 15 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)
    Last edited by the dope; 26-01-2021 at 13:10.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  3. 1 Thanks from:
    Kirriemuir

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    All for nothing - only one runner SHANG TAN! - ran well and held every chance 2 out, not fluent
    and weakened at the last.

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    read somewhere Shang tang can get really worked up before some races, drifted quite badly 10 minutes before race on betty so maybe connections realised it was getting worked up hence the drift.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

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    06/02 - WEEKEND RATINGS FOR DUBLIN FESTIVAL & TV RACES

    Leopardstown


    1.05

    GALLIARD Du MESNIL .. 58 5/2
    ASHDALE BOB ............ 56 8/1
    VANILLIER ................. 50 12/1
    HOLYMACOPONY ......... 48 10/1
    GANAPATHI ................ 46 12/1
    STATTLER .................. 44 9/2

    1.35

    CHACUN POUR SOI ..... 82 1/2
    MIN ........................... 78 7/2
    NOTEBOOK ................. 74 6/1
    FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES .... 69 33/1
    TORNADO FLYER ......... 67 20/1
    SIZING POTTSIE ........ 62 20/1

    2.10

    ENERGUMENE ............. 65 5/6
    FRANCO DE PORT ........ 65 10/1
    DARVER STAR ............. 60 14/1 (EW)
    UNEXPECTED .............. 60 5/1
    CAPTAIN GUINESS ....... 56 10/1
    EMBITTERED ............... 52 25/1

    2.45

    THE SHUNTER .......... 52 8/1
    ANDALUSA .............. 51 20/1
    EMBITTERED ........... 50 12/1
    GRAND PARTNER ..... 50 25/1
    KILDORREY ............. 50 33/1
    EPSON DU HOUX ..... 47 6/1

    3.15
    HONEYSUCKLE ............ 73 6/4
    SHARJAH ................. 73 9/4
    SALDIER .................... 67 14/1
    ABRACADABRAS .......... 65 9/1
    SAINT ROI ................. 65 6/1

    3.50

    DYSART DIAMOND ........ 47 14/1 (Nap)
    THE MOYGLASS FLYER ... 41 12/1
    WEST CORK WILDWAY ... 41 12/1
    MASTER McSHEE ........... 40 10/1
    WIDE RECEIVER ............ 39 10/1
    DROP THE ANCHOR ....... 39 12/1
    HES A HARDY BLOKE ..... 39 12/1

    Sandown

    1.15

    BILLINGSLEY .................. 46 12/1 (EW)
    FUNAMBULE SIVOLA..........46 11/4
    PADDY'S POEM ................. 46 6/1
    MENGLI KHAN .................. 45 7/1
    DOLOS ............................ 44 3/1
    MOONLIGHTER ................. 42 7/1
    CARRIBEAN BOY ............... 41 5/1

    1.50

    MESSIRE DES OBEAUX ..... 65 7/2
    HITMAN ......................... 63 5/2
    ALLART .......................... 61 10/3
    DAME DE COMPAGNIE ...... 61 4/1
    SHAN BLUE ..................... 60 5/2
    PAINT THE DREAM ........... 58 10/1

    Wetherby

    1.58

    ITCHY FEET .................. 71 9/2
    BALLY OPTIC ................ 65 14/1
    RAMSES DE TEILLEE ..... 61 16/1
    MAIN FACT .................. 60 11/2
    ON THE BLIND SIDE ..... 59 4/1
    DECOR IRLANDAISE ..... 57 14/1

    Musselburgh

    2.05

    LOCKER ROOM TALK ...55 10/1
    MICK MAESTRO ......... 49 8/1
    TORIGNI ................... 48 10/1
    NEWTOWN BOY .........47 8/1
    ASHINGTON ............. 47 10/1
    BLAKENEY POINT ......46 10/1

    Sandown

    2.20

    BRISTOL DE MAI ....... 82 2/1
    SANTINI .................. 78 5/2
    NATIVE RIVER .......... 73 9/2
    SAINT CALVODOS ..... 71 5/1
    YALA ENKI ............... 70 15/2
    LAKE VEIW LAD ....... 69 16/1

    Wetherby

    2.35

    PORT OF MARS ............... 67 5/1 (Nap)
    DAME DE COMPAGNIE ......64 6/1
    SEVARANO .....................59 4/1
    THE BIG BREAKAWAY .......59 2/1
    FULL BACK .....................57 6/1
    REMASTERED ..................53 6/1

    Musselburgh

    2.40

    RIKOBOY ................... 60
    KING D'ARGENT ......... 58
    PADDY'S POEM ........... 53
    GAELIK COAST .......... 51
    ZOLFO ...................... 50
    DEFI SACRE .............. 49

    2.55

    EVANDER .....................48
    LIEUTENANT ROCCO ... 48
    ALNADAM .................... 47
    JOHNBB .......................47
    BILLINGSLEY ................46
    CLAN LEGEND ............. 45
    COLORADO DOC ......... 45


    Sandown

    3.30

    VALTOR ......................... 50 14/1 (EW)
    ALNADAM ....................... 49 10/1
    ASK ME EARLY ................ 46 7/1
    HOLD HAT TAUGHT ....... 45 8/1
    LE BREUIL ..................... 43 10/1
    TWO FOR GOLD ............. 43 8/1

    Musselburgh

    3.45

    SHANTOU FLYER .......... 64 8/1
    DINO BOY ................... 63 8/1
    VALTOUR .................... 63 14/1
    THE FERRY MASTER ..... 61 9/2
    RUN WILD FRED .......... 61 10/1
    SOME NECK ............... 60 12/1
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 03-02-2021 at 19:59.

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    07/02 - Sunday's DUBLIN FESTIVAL RATINGS .. Leopardstown

    1.10
    DYSART DIAMOND 44 11/2
    LADY BREFFNI 41 8/1
    GETAWAY GORGEOUS 40 11/1
    TELMESOMETHING GIRL 40 13/2
    BLANKETONTHEGROUND 39 11/1
    BON RETOUR 39 20/1
    QUILIXIOS 47 5/2

    1.40
    YOUMDOR 40 5/1
    SAINT SAM 33 20/1
    BUSSELTON 27 14/1
    HA D'OR 26 16/1
    VARNA GOLD 17 100/1

    2.10 APPRECIATE IT 58 8/11
    MASTER McSHEE 50 10/1
    BALLYADAM 48 7/1
    IRASCIBLE 47 12/1
    BLUE LORD 46 10/1
    KESKONRISK 45 16/1

    2.40 DAMALISQUE 50 5/1 (Nap)
    PURE GENIUS 47 9/1
    UNEXPECTED DEPTH 46 10/1
    DANDY MAG 46 12/1
    KOSHARI 46 14/1
    MOROSINI 45 14/1

    3.10 MONKFISH 63 8/11
    LATEST EXHIBITION 60 7/2
    ANDY DUFRESNE 54 14/1
    ASTERION FORLONGE 53 14/1
    CONFLATED 53 40/1
    JANIDIL 51 14/1

    3.40 DELTA WORK 76 5/1
    KEMBOY 74 10/3
    MINELLA INDO 73 5/2
    MELON 71 4/1
    THE STORYTELLER 66 16/1

    4.10 TREACYSENNISCORTHY 43 8/1
    OFF YOU GO 42 8/1
    BAPUME 42 16/1
    CROSSED MY MIND 41 15/2
    THE LONG MILE 40 12/1
    MINELLA TIMES 40 12/1

    4.40 TAKE TEA 29 11/4
    BRANDY LOVE 29 11/8
    BROOKLYN GLORY 27 12/1
    HOLLYMOUNT 21 7/1
    PURPLE MOUNTAIN 20 10/1
    BETTY ZANE 19 33/1
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 06-02-2021 at 12:31.

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    13/02 - Saturday TV Ratings

    1.50 Newbury

    AGRAPART 54 16/1
    SOUTHFIELD HARVEST 53 8/1
    CHAMPAGNE PLATINUM 53 10/1
    BRINKLEY 51 6/1
    MINT CONDITION 51 10/1
    SIZABLE SAM 50 8/1
    ES PERFECTO 50 10/1
    FARRANTS WAY 50 14/1

    2.05 Warwick


    PAUL'S SAGA 63 1/2
    EGLANTINE DU SEUIL 59 9/2
    SENSULANO 50 20/1
    MOLLY'S WISHES 48 6/1
    DOLCITA 47 14/1
    WHITEHOTCHILLIFILLI 44 7/1

    2.25 Newbury

    CLAN DES OBEAUX 79 7/4
    SECRET INVESTOR 77 14/1
    CHAMP 76 2/1
    LOSININTRANSLATION 74 7/2
    KALASHNIKOV 72 8/1
    CEPAGE 69 20/1

    2.40 Warwick

    SKY PIRATE 65 5/2
    ALLMANKIND 63 10/11
    CHEDDLETON 61 7/2
    TAMAROC DU MATHAN 60 7/1
    SACRE COEUR 41 25/1

    3.00 Newbury


    ALTIOR 77 5/4
    FANION D'ESTRUVAL 76 8/1
    MAGIC SAINT 75 10/1
    GREANETEEN 72 9/2
    SCEAU ROYAL 68 5/1
    SKY PIRATE 67 14/1

    3.15 Warwick

    ADMIRAL'S SECRET 50 12/1
    MIDNIGHT SHADOW 49 7/1
    OLDGRANGEWOOD 49 8/1
    SPIRITOFTHEGAMES 49 9/1
    GALA BALL 48 14/1
    MISTER WHITAKER 47 10/1
    UMBRIGADO 47 10/1

    3.35 Newbury

    MISTER COFFEY 53 10/1
    SOARING GLORY 52 9/1
    SHAKEM UP'ARRY 52 16/1
    ON TO VICTORY 50 14/1
    METIER 49 7/1
    FAVOIR 49 16/1
    MILKWOOD 49 16/1

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    13/02 - Saturday's Revised TV Ratings

    1.40 Naas

    SHATTERED LOVE 68 3/1 ... 2ND 11/2
    ELIMAY 67 4/7 ... W 8/15
    YUKON LIL 67 9/2 ... 3RD 10/3

    Lingfield
    2.00

    SECRET HANDSHEIKH 90 5/2 ... N/R
    WATER OF LEITH 87 7/4 ... 3RD 5/4
    CHARLIE FELLOWES 86 4/1... 2ND 13/8
    TWILIGHT HEIR 85 11/2 ... W 3/1


    Lingfield
    2.35

    APEX KING 77 11/2 ... 2ND 9/2
    DE VEGAS KID 77 16/1
    CRACKLING 76 15/8 ... W 10/11
    ACCLOMPLICE 75 7/2
    NOBLE PEACE 75 5/1

    Naas
    2.50

    AUTUMN EVENING 77 13/8 ... 3RD 2/1
    DRUID'S ALTAR 76 13/8 ... W 13/8
    ZOFFANIEN 72 9/2 ... 2ND 11/4
    SIDESHIFT 69 6/1


    Lingfield
    3.10

    CONVERTIBLE 72 4/1 ... W 10/3
    AVORISK ET PERILS 71 9/1 ... 2ND 11/1
    AZTEC DREAMS 71 12/1
    STOPNSEARCH 70 3/1
    CAPLA CRUSADER 69 4/1
    AMSBY 69 10/1

    Naas
    3.25

    CAPTURE THE ACTION 80 12/1
    DJASEK 79 9/2
    WAIT HERE 79 13/2 ... 3RD 11/1
    FOU DILIGENCE 78 12/1 ... W 7/1


    Lingfield
    3.45

    INEVITABLE OUTCOME 76 3/1
    BOMBASTIC 73 9/1
    GARTH ROCKETT 73 5/1 ... 3RD 11/4
    CAPPANANTY CON 73 4/1 ... W 9/2
    SAVE THE SPIRIT 72 13/2
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 13-02-2021 at 16:03.

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    Saturday 20/02

    1.50 Ascot

    1. REMASTERED W 9/2
    2. FULL BACK
    3. HURRICANE HARVEY
    4. DE MACHINE
    5. SEVARANO

    2.05 Haydock

    1. MAIN FACT
    2. ON THE BLIND SIDE 3RD 4/1
    3. ITCHY FEET
    4. EMITOM
    5. LISNAGAR OSCAR

    2.25 Ascot

    1. NOTACHANCE NR
    2. COBOLOBO
    3. REGAL ENCORE 2ND 12/1
    4. JERRYSBACK
    CAPTAIN CHAOS

    2.40 Haydock

    1.NOTACHANCE
    2. ENQARDE
    3. SOJOURN
    4. THE TWO AMIGOS
    5. LORD DU MENSIL

    3.00 Ascot

    1. ALBERT'S BACK NR
    2. GLADIATEUR ALLEN
    3. ARRIVEDERCI 3RD 10/3
    4. DANS LE VENT
    5. PILEON

    3.18 Wincanton

    1. SONG FOR SOMEONE 2ND 10/3
    2. NAVAJO PASS 3RD 6/1
    3. GOSHEN W 10/3
    4. FRIEND OR FOE
    5. ESPIRIT DU LARG

    3.35 Ascot

    1. DASHEL DRASHER W 4/1
    2. MASTER TOMMY TUCKER 2ND 7/2
    3. CYRNAME
    4. BENNY'S KING
    5. RIDERS ON THE STORM

    Sunday 21/02

    1.50 Newbury

    1. SIZEABLE SAM
    2. ES PERFECTO
    3. MINT CONDITION
    4. SOUTHFIELD HARVEST
    5. PALMERS HILL

    2.05 Market Rasen

    1. STONER'S CHOICE
    2. OPTIMISE PRIME
    3. HERE COMES JOHNY
    4. MINELLA DRAMA


    2.25 Newbury

    1. SECRET INVESTOR
    2 CLAN DES OBEAUX
    3. LOST IN TRANSLATION
    4. KALASHNIKOV
    5. DASHEL DRASHER

    2.47 Navan

    1. SAMS PROFILE
    2. RONALD PUMP
    3. BEACON EDGE
    4. FURY ROAD
    5. FRENCH DYNAMITE

    3.00 Newbury

    1. CHAMP
    2. GREANETEEN
    3. SCEAU ROYAL
    4. DOLOS
    5. FANION D'ESTRUVAL

    3.15 Market Rasen

    1. AJERO
    2. MICK MAESTRO
    3. GORTROE JOE
    4. MISS HERITAGE
    5. MASKADA

    3.35 Newbury

    1. CADZAND
    2. FIFTY BALL
    3. GUARD YOUR DREAMS
    4. BUZZ
    5. MISTER COFFEY
    6. SOARING GLORY
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 20-02-2021 at 15:50.

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    VIP Weekly Tipping - 27th & 28th February 2021



    Saturday 27th February


    1:15 Kempton Park - Close Brothers Asset Finance Handicap Hurdle (WU)
    This race has been a bit of a favourites playground in the last few years. Three of the last four renewals have been taken by the market favourite so maybe looking toward the top of the market would be the correct course of action. Nicky Henderson has a decent record in this race and even when his horses don’t win they tend to go close. However, this year he is a notable absence from this race so it could prove to be quite an open renewal. Some of the other British heavyweights send their horses here; some of the top stables represented are Dan Skelton, Paul Nicholls and Colin Tizzard. Dan Skelton has one of the more interesting runners on paper in the form of Encore Champs.
    Until recently Encore Champs had been trained by Warren Greatrex and was quite a useful performer. Owned by Bryan Drew, a move to the Skelton yard was never out of the question as most of his horses are trained by the Skelton team. Rated 133 over hurdles at his peak, he has had quite a tough time of it recently since he moved to the larger obstacles. A winner of only once race out of six he seems to have lost his way and has since had a wind operation and changed yards. Off the track for 350 days it’s probably going to be a fact-finding mission to see how much ability he still retains, but at age only seven he is by no means a lost cause. I won’t be putting him as a selection this week but would be quite interested to see how he gets on.
    Diocletian was a solid handicapper on the Flat and has made a promising start to life over hurdles. He is still trained by Andrew Balding, who isn’t famed for his exploits over jumps, but he has still managed to get himself a win on his last start at Fakenham. It was the first time he has looked like settling since sent hurdling and despite being slightly keen Page Fuller let him stride on and he won by an easy 10 lengths. His jumping had also improved and an opening mark off 126 looks fair. My main reservations would be the horse’s relative inexperience and his inability to fully settle in a field as competitive as this could ultimately cost him. Bottom-weight is Top Man, who is another that seems to have lost his way this season. He won his first start over fences but then fell twice and clearly lost a lot of his confidence. A return to hurdles over course and distance looked to revitalise him somewhat, although his jumping still wasn’t perfect. He was just over 10 lengths behind Ecco that day, who he reopposes here. He gets a couple of extra lbs from him on Saturday and if Top Man has found a bit more of his old self it could see them finish a lot closer.
    Ecco is the only runner for the Paul Nicholls stable and that second earned him a 2lb rise. He, like a lot of these, has avoided the bad weather we’ve been having in search of better ground. A win at Kempton on the all-weather has kept him fit but I just wonder if he won’t be caught out by something with a little less weight. He just looks to lack that killer turn of foot in his races and only has the one next to his name because the winner was disqualified as the jockey weighed-in light. I’d definitely want to take him on here. Tedham has become a Pertemps qualifier regular this season and also had a poor effort over fences where he was pulled up. He’s a funny character and isn’t the finest of jumpers, which often costs him a lot of ground. I don’t think this is his preferred trip, although he’s now off quite a dangerous mark if he were to decide that today is the day. The reapplication of tongue tie is also interesting and while he could run well he doesn’t have the consistency I’d look for in a race like this.
    Golan Fortune is top-weight for Phil Middleton but valuable claimer Luca Morgan takes off 7lb. He returns from a stint over fences to hurdles with a mark 2lb higher than his last effort, which saw him finish third behind On The Blind Side. He has since franked this form when running well in behind Third Wind and Lisnagar Oscar but Golan Fortune was carrying a lot less weight that day. He wears his heart on his sleeve but I feel like the handicapper may have him held at the moment.
    GUNSIGHT RIDGE would be my idea of the winner here. A mark off 122 looks to be lenient on what he has achieved so far. He comes from the Olly Murphy stable which has not been having the greatest time of things this season. Their winners have been a bit sporadic but recently his horses have begun to reflect market confidence. His most recent form reads 4,2,4,2,1,2, which by all accounts is very solid. GUNSIGHT RIDGE won’t mind the step up in trip and I think he’s been crying out for it. A point winner, his stamina should be assured and his form has worked out well. Qualismart beat him on hurdles debut and he’s definitely better than his latest run when he did not like the heavy ground. He then won at Doncaster before his most recent start at Newbury in testing conditions against Gowel Road. He was in receipt of 1lb that day and only finished 5 lengths behind him. Since that run Gowel Road has gone to back to Newbury and dispatched the 131 rated Good Ball by five lengths. What makes this win even more impressive was Good Ball was in receipt off 9lb despite being rated the same. GUNSIGHT RIDGE finished the same distance behind off level weights so surely must have a significant amount of weight in hand here. He’s only a six-year-old so could easily improve again - he looks a great bet here.
    bettrends advice:
    GUNSIGHT RIDGE 1pt WIN @ 7/2 (in general)



    2:52 Fairyhouse - Bobbyjo Chase (Grade 3) (WU)
    Only five runners go to post for this renewal. Won last year by Acapella Bourgeois, he again takes his place at the top of the weights against some quite interesting rivals. He gives 8lb to all of his rivals and I think he might have a bit of a harder time retaining his crown this year. Willie Mullins has farmed this race in recent years winning the last five renewals and often the race can be a preparation run for those going to the Grand National at Aintree. To go against his runners in a race he has so much success in would be tough and to find out if there are any suitable rival we must examine their own credentials.
    Anibale Fly makes his seasonal reappearance in this race. More often than not he is seen in some of the top races when he returns to the track, however this year I would imagine he will be given a less intense preparation before his ultimate target, of the Grand National. He has run so well at Aintree in recent years and has a nice weight this time around, which could see him go close again. If you go back through his form of late he has needed his first run of the season and I can’t imagine this time it will be any different. He certainly isn’t the horse of old and while he will run a good preparation race I doubt he will be a full fitness for this.
    J P McManus is also represented by The Long Mile for the J P Dempsey team. He won a handicap chase over at Limerick earlier this season, beating Articulum by 22 lengths in very testing conditions. The 12lb rise he was hit with firmly stopped him in his tracks as he was easily dispatched on his next handicap start at Leopardstown. He sat in midfield and the fact he is now sent out of handicap company suggests that graded races may be the only option for him. He could go well but whether he is quite good enough to win this I would question. To step up to 3 miles for only the second time in his career in such a competitive field would take a remarkable improvement in his own ability to see him win. It will more likely be a fact-finding mission to see just how good this horse is, but at only seven-year-olds there is definitely potential.
    Burrows Saint is the mount of Paul Townend. Winner of the Irish National back in April of 2019, he hasn’t looked quite the same force of old. He’s tried twice to win off a reduced hurdle mark without success and now goes back over fences for the first time. He is only eight and in this field, he does get that 8lb swing from Acapella Bourgeois despite being 1lb better off at the ratings. I’d actually fancy Burrow’s Saint, over Acapella Bourgeois because off this weight difference but neither of them would be my pick.
    Instead I’m going to side with the only Gigginstown runner, Tout Est Permis, for the Noel Meade yard. It’s true that he’s struggled this season but Noel Meade has been in great form and Sean Flanagan now gets back onboard. This was particularly eye-catching as his best efforts came with Flanagan in the saddle including two seconds against the Grade 1-winning The Storyteller. The ground should be perfect for him and three miles is exactly what he wants. I don’t think big-fields help this horse, as his jumping can often let him down when under serious pressure. The inclusion of two Willie Mullins horses in a race he wins so regularly should mean that there will be some decent value about Tout Est Permis and I’m backing him to return to form here.
    bettrends advice:
    TOUT EST PERMIS 1pt WIN @ SP



    3:00 Kempton Park - Sky Bet Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (WU)
    Cape Gentlemen presents quite an interesting angle into the race as he is coming over from Ireland. A winner of his first start he looked very impressive and I quite fancied him for the Grade 1 over 2 miles 6 furlongs at the Dublin Racing Festival. He was disappointing though that day and the jockey’s only excuse was that he hung right. He now steps back down in trip to 2 miles, which he hasn’t run over before. Despite him coming over from Ireland, I would still have my reservations about how much that last run took out of him and would be swerving him here. Mackenburg looked to be a real force as he began his career over hurdles but his impressive first win was not as emphatic as it first seemed. The form of those in behind has worked out very poorly and he subsequently lost his next start to a 134-rated horse off level weights, which would imply that he had found his level. Aintree saw him flop badly and, after a little break, he came back in a jumpers’ bumper at Newcastle where he beat a subpar field at short odds. I think 2 miles Is what this horse wants and he is obviously still quite raw, but I’m just not sure he’s on a steep upward trajectory as some his rivals look to be.

    ATHOLL STREET looks to a rock-solid favourite. A winner of his two starts over hurdles, there looks to be a lot more to come from this six year-old. He began life in a bumper at Exeter where he finished a tailed-off sixth, which came after he had been a 190,000 euros purchase and I’m sure connections will have known there was more to come from the son of Jeremy. A wind operation and 316 days off seems to have worked the oracle as he looked an altogether different proposition at Taunton. He seemed to really enjoy himself and by no means did he look the finished article. Coming to the last few hurdles he started to hang and jump right but you could still call him the winner despite these novicey errors. He was really keen all the way round which would not have helped his cause, so you can easily mark up this effort. Back in third that day was Onemorefortheroad, who was very well backed, going off 11/10 favourite. He pulled even harder than ATHOLL STREET and as a result could only manage third. Gunsight Ridge beat him on his next start by 2 lengths and Gunsight Ridge has subsequently only finished five lengths behind the very promising Gowel Road so the form looks rock solid. ATHOLL STREET’s latest start was a much easier task and he easily dispatched as subpar field in commanding style. There was a lot more professionalism about the performance and I was very impressed. On Saturday he will get better ground which he should enjoy and with potentially another easy lead it could very hard to peg him back.
    His main market rival looks to be Calico for the red-hot Harry and Dan Skelton duo. They will be hoping to repeat last weekend’s success at Kempton this Saturday. Like ATHOLL STREET he was relatively unfancied in the market and went off 5/1 on his British debut after coming over from the German Flat racing sphere. Not famed for its future jumping stars, the fact he went off 5/1 means they must have thought something of him at home. His trio of placed efforts in Germany means his form, as you would expect, is quite difficult to gauge. His debut over hurdles however was quite impressive as he beat The Grey Falco by an easy 4 ˝ lengths and the favourite by 10 ˝ lengths. The form of this race has not worked out nearly as well as ATHOLL STREET though and for that reason you can’t not end up landing on him as the selection.
    bettrends advice:
    ATHOLL STREET 1pt WIN @ 2/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Betfred)
    Last edited by the dope; 26-02-2021 at 21:30.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  12. #11
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    3:15 Newcastle – Vertem Eider Handicap (EA)
    The starting position of the Eider Chase has been moved back this year so with a distance of four miles, one furlong and 56 yards it will take some getting on testing ground. In such a gruelling race weight could be an important factor and the only horse to have carried more than 11st to victory in the last ten years is Portrait King back in 2012, who had won the Punchestown Grand National Trial on his previous start.

    The Eider Chase is a race that Newcastle-born Brian Ellison would particularly like to win and he saddles Sam’s Adventure who is the current favourite for the contest. The eight-year-old marked himself down as a potential stayer to follow when getting off the mark over fences at Uttoxeter in March last year, where he got the better of the Philip Hobbs’ trained Musical Slave in the Class 2 novices’ handicap. He was not able to match that form in his first two starts off the current season, but he bounced back with a decisive success in the Tommy Whittle Handicap at Haydock in December, where Salty Boy was back in third place for David Bridgwater. For his next start, Sam’s Adventure was upped in class for the Peter Marsh Handicap back at Haydock and it now looks like he faced a tough task that day up against Venetia Williams’ possible Gold Cup contender. He was still in contention though when unseating his rider, so he could easily put that effort behind him at Newcastle on Saturday. However, his Haydock win came over an extended three miles and a furlong so he will have to prove that he stays the distance in the Eider Chase.
    One who is proven over extreme distances is Crosspark who won the Eider in 2019 for Caroline Bailey and is actually defending his title this weekend with last year’s renewal of the race being abandoned. After his neck-success in 2019 he was raised 7lb in the ratings but he went on to run a fine race to finish second in the Scottish National on his following start. After three below-par efforts in the 2019/20 season, Crosspark has returned as good as ever during the current campaign, finishing runner-up in all four of his races. The downside though is that he has been going up in the weights without getting his head in front, so the eleven-year-old is now 15lb higher than for his last win which came in the Eider. Crosspark can run his race again back at Newcastle but he may just find it tough to defy top-weight in the contest.
    At the other end of the weights is CROSSLEY TENDER who has thrived this season for Paul Henderson. He has been kept busy since October, running eight times (twice over hurdles) and winning four times while only finishing outside of the top three on his seasonal debut. The eight-year-old remains relatively lightly-raced over fences with twelve starts to date and he has kept improving with his racing. Having won a Class 3 handicap at Exeter (three miles, soft ground) at the start of the year, CROSSLEY TENDER bumped into a pair of progressive rivals on his latest effort at Ascot when finishing third. He stayed on well though from the rear of the field that day and the way that he has been finishing his races suggests that a step up in trip will suit. CROSSLEY TENDER may have to prove himself over the distance on Saturday, but in his current mood he can run a big race in the Eider off bottom-weight.
    It looks to be a competitive renewal of the Eider this year and others to note include The Dutchman who has shown better form in his last two starts since joining Tristan Davidson andLucinda Russell’s Big River who has always looked like stamina is his forte. However, they both have to carry over 11st which could make life difficult for them.
    bettrends advice:
    CROSSLEY TENDER 1pt E/W @ 7/1 (William Hill, Betfred, BoyleSports - 4 places)



    3:50 Newcastle - Break From The Field With Vertem Handicap Hurdle (EA)
    There are only seven runners for this Class 2 race but it looks an interesting contest with the improving Fransham the current market leader for Pam Sly. The seven-year-old won three times over hurdles in 2019 but did not really manage to kick on as hoped last season. However, after finishing fifth on his season reappearance tried over two and a half miles at Market Rasen in October he has returned to form dropped back to two miles since then. Fransham got back to winning ways in a Class 3 at Wetherby at the end of October where he travelled strongly through the race, before following up back at the same course in even easier fashion by six and a half lengths. His latest start came at Kempton in January when he again went well through the race but made a mistake at the final flight when finishing third in the Class 3 behind the Alex Hales-trained Millers Bank. The way that Fransham travels in his races suggests that he could have more to offer, but he is now up to a mark of 141 and has to concede weight all round (taking into account the jockey’s 7lb allowance on Forest Bihan) upped to Class 2 company on Saturday.
    The least exposed runner in the line-up is the Tom George-trained Hooligan who has only had the three starts over hurdles so far. After finishing fifth in an Exeter bumper in January 2020, he made a successful hurdling debut at Warwick in March where he made a good impression with his five-length success. He was then upped straight into a Class 2 for his return this season and he made it two from two over obstacles in the introductory hurdle at Wetherby in November. It may not have been the strongest of races for the grade with only the five runners, but he showed a good attitude that day to get the better of Donald McCain’s Mackenberg, who was since gone on to win a bumper. Hooligan was tried over the longer trip of two miles and two furlongs for his handicap debut when last seen and he ran creditably carrying top-weight on the heavy ground. The drop back in trip at Newcastle should suit the six-year-old, but his mark of 134 looked to be about right last time so he will need further improvement taking on the strongest opposition that he has come up against so far.
    One who is well-handicapped on his old form is FOREST BIHAN and he showed promise on his most recent effort for Brian Ellison. Rated as high as 158 at his peak over fences, the ten-year-old fell in his two chase starts this season after returning from over a year off the track. However, he showed that he retains his ability with a third-place finish in a jumpers’ bumper at Newcastle earlier this month. That looked to be decent race of its type with the winner, the Dan Skelton-trained Proschema, making it back-to-back wins and FOREST BIHAN could be able to build on that effort back over hurdles. He has largely been campaigned over fences since 2016 and developed into a useful performer, with his most recent win coming in the Grade 2 Old Roan Handicap in October 2019. Unfortunately he was not seen again on the track until November last year, but his run last time was encouraging and FOREST BIHAN is well-treated over smaller obstacles as he is rated 10lb lower over hurdles than he is over fences. He could be able to get back to winning ways on Saturday at a course where he has finished in the top-three in all four of his races throughout his career, winning twice.

    bettrends advice:
    FOREST BIHAN 1pt E/W @ 11/2 (Paddy Power, Betfair)


    Last edited by the dope; 26-02-2021 at 21:29.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  13. #12
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    4:10 Kempton Park – Close Brothers Motor Finance Handicap Chase (MW)
    It’s not often you see a ten-runner handicap chase where every horse is separated by only 2lb, but that’s what we’ve got here, something that is almost a 0-130 level-weights contest.
    Interestingly, for a sharp 2m4f test around a quick track like Kempton, there are a plethora of horses dropping back in trip. The Devils Drop, Eden Du Houx, Braqueur D’Or and My Way have all shown their best form over three miles and even if the race is run to suit, they’re all likely to be severely outpaced on what looks like being a quick surface.
    Therefore, I’m looking for a horse with a good turn of foot and one who will like the ‘good’ conditions – Ouro Branco is a very short price for a horse who has done all his good work on at least soft ground, if not heavy, so he’s one I’m keen to take on despite his jockeys’ 7lb claim looking a big help in a field not separated by much on official ratings.
    Awake At Midnight certainly enjoys a sound surface and was a very impressive winner last time out over this trip at Huntingdon last time out, pulling 14 lengths clear of his rivals from a mark of 117. A subsequent 10lb rise won’t make life easier in this better race though and he’s been well-beaten from lower marks than 127 in the past. Still, this nine-year-old has only had eight starts over fences, so he could well improve, but his early jumping issues last time out won’t be something he’ll be able to overcome in this company, so at a short price, I’m happy to go elsewhere.
    No Hidden Charges will have to bounce back to form in a big way to be competitive here after being beaten out of sight in his last two runs in novice handicap chases off marks of 131 and 128, but a recent wind-op could help, as will Millie Wonnacott’s 7lb claim. The eight-year-old is a big outsider here, but you can still make a case for him on his best form, even if that does mean looking back to his hurdling efforts. A fifth over hurdles to Our Power in the Silver Plate from a mark of 131 suggests that, if recent wind surgery can help No Hidden Charges get back to his best, this mark of 125 (minus 7lb jockey claim) may well be workable. Trainer Neil Mulholland seems to always have a winner or two on this card, so this horse is one to keep an eye on at a big price.
    However, there are more solid options to choose from here and even though Captain Blackpearl’s jumping went to pot last time, he still managed to finish second off this mark at Doncaster behind the progressive Evander, who has gone up a further 10lb in the handicap since. He’s obviously going to have to jump much better to get involved in this, but Tom George’s charge looked a novice chaser on the up when hammering his rivals over C&D back in November from a mark of 114, 13lb lower than the number he runs off here. That was on good ground and was something of a surprise as his action suggests that cut in the ground would suit him better, but perhaps he was just so well handicapped, it didn’t matter. However, he’s risky as he could have been flattered by that win in a race that fell apart somewhat, so combined with his jumping issues, it’s perhaps a better idea to look elsewhere.
    Another horse who hacked up from a 13lb lower mark early on in the season was the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Guy, who was an impressive winner at Huntingdon in October on his last experience of good ground. His subsequent two efforts on softer ground from this higher mark have been decent without threatening the winners’ enclosure, but perhaps this return to a quicker surface will prompt a more threatening performance, even though it may just be that the handicapper has him where he wants him. A mark of 126 is no gimme, even though this six-year-old is probably the least exposed horse in the field, with just three starts over fences to his name.
    Therefore, the one I like here is the Dan Skelton-trained MONSIEUR D’ARQUE, who hasn’t been seen since October, but is a confirmed good-ground horse who chased home some useful sorts in handicaps on his last three starts over trips between 2m and 2m4f. His last start at this trip saw him travel and jump supremely well around Warwick in what was a good race (Class 3, 0-140), but perhaps get to the front too soon only to see the improver, Templepark, sluice past him in the final furlong. Two further seconds behind Scardura and Eritage followed at Newton Abbot and Ludlow respectively, both very creditable efforts against well-handicapped, in-form contenders, and after a wind op, he could pick up where he left off as he goes very well fresh. This sharp, right handed track is exactly what he wants – both of his wins under rules have come at similar venues – and with Harry Skelton in the saddle, he certainly won’t want for assistance. MONSIEUR D’ARQUE has a turn of foot that could come in very handy indeed given the conditions and the fact that there’s not masses of pace on here, so expect to see him delivered with his chance around the final bend – hopefully Harry can time it right.
    bettrends advice:
    MONSIEUR D’ARQUE 1pt E/W @ 11/2 (SkyBet, William Hill)




    4:25 Newcastle – The Vertem-Leading The Field Handicap Chase (JH)
    With the good weather expected to continue throughout the day at Newcastle, this 2m4f chase looks fascinating and the market looks wide-open.
    Although this doesn’t look the deepest of races by any means, Ascot De Bruyere seems to be heading off at the top of the market after his 18-length domination over course and distance back in November under the champion jockey Brian Hughes. He is back in the saddle again today to try and follow up but should have a much tougher task, with this field looking a lot more capable and with the 7lb penalty to overcome. Despite that, he is the only one in the field to have scored last time out so must enter calculations.
    Clan Legend heads to post as top-weight with an official rating of 135 and, with two promising runs under his belt, he could be one to watch out for too. Since winning by just over 2 lengths from Dashing Perk at Aintree over today’s distance, this gelding put in another good effort behind the improving Alnadam, only getting beat by 5 lengths on the day. The veteran comes into this off the same mark and if putting in the same sort of run he should be going close. Another in the field who has been going well recently is Sandy Thomson’s Seemorelights who showed signs of promise over hurdles (up to 3m) and has quickly found that form over fences too. He hasn’t been seen for a little while after finishing third in a novice at Ayr so more required is here.
    Formerly with the Nicky Henderson stable, Pougne Bobbi tries his luck with the visor again to see if he can try to recapture his previous form. However, he hasn’t shown much since switching to Keith Dalgleish’s stable and, despite his mark continuing to fall, he looks up against it again. Another who will have his work cut out in this 8-runner field is Last Goodbye who has failed to make any sort of impact since sent chasing for his current stable and struggled to find anything extra in a jumpers’ bumper most recently.
    Demi Sang has the cheekpieces on again and his fifth at Wetherby last time out looks better form than the result suggests. His falling mark catches the eye too but he has yet to win since August 2019, despite some good efforts, and seems to be best at Cartmel where he has recorded both of his wins for Ben Haslam. Henry Brooke gets the leg up on Informateur who improved drastically from his chasing bow to land a maiden at this track on his next attempt. He is yet to back up that win, despite going close at Carlisle (only beaten by a neck), and put in a below-par performance at Catterick 11 days ago. He remains on the same mark today and will need to show a little bit extra.
    FORTIFIED BAY has been struggling since he won off a mark of 125 on soft ground at Newcastle back in January 2020. He has been running over 3m2f+ since that win and on heavy ground which hasn’t seemed to suit, so Jennie Candlish’s nine-year-old could be interesting today. The gelding is down significantly in trip which I’m hoping can spring a revival and he drops a further 3lb in the weights so he is back on his last winning mark. With the first-time visor on to help, I think this horse looks majorly overpriced in this line-up and he could easily finish in the places and possibly even get his head in front.
    bettrends advice:
    FORTIFIED BAY 0.5pts E/W @ 20/1 (bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair)
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  14. 1 Thanks from:
    Kirriemuir

  15. #13
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    1.50 Kempton

    1. TAMAROC DU MATHAN W 1/1
    2. COOL CODY 3RD 7/1
    3. GA LAW 2ND 13/8

    1.50 Lingfield

    1. BLUE DE VEGA 3RD 18/1
    2. MOSS GILL 2ND 6/4
    3. ORNATE
    4. ROYAL BIRTH

    2.25 Kempton

    1.TRITONIC W 5/6
    2. CASA LOUPI 2ND 13/2
    3. HONNEUR D'JONC
    4. MARGARET'S LEGACY
    5. SOLDIER ON PARADE

    2.40 Lingfield

    1. FATHER OF JAZZ 3RD 6/4
    2. FOREST OF DEAN W 10/3
    3. FELIX 2ND 3/1
    4. JOHNNY DRAMA

    3.00 Kempton

    1. ATHOLL STREET
    2. CAPE GENTLEMAN W 5/2
    3. MACKENBERG
    4. CALICO 2ND 11/4

    3.15 Newcastle

    1. CROSSLEY TENDER 2ND 11/2
    2. LITTLE RED LION
    3. CROSSPARK
    4. SAM'S ADVENTURE W 15/2

    3.35 Kempton

    1. BLACK CORTON
    2. AL DANCER
    3. CLONDAW CASTLE W 17/2
    4. CAP DU NORD
    5. THE BUTCHER SAID
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 27-02-2021 at 18:18.

  16. #14
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    57
    06/03

    1.15 Newbury

    1. PRESENT MAN
    2. SIR IVAN
    3. WEST APPROACH
    4. VALADOM

    1.30 Kelso

    1. MY DROGO
    2. ANY NEWS
    3. CASTLE RUSHDEN
    4. ALRIGHT SUNSHINE.

    1.50 Newbury

    1. GRAND SANCY
    2. SENIOR CITIZEN
    3. ANOTHER CRICK
    4. PISTOL WHIPPED

    2.05 Kelso

    1. FLASH COLLOGNES
    2. MEGA YEATS
    3. SEBASTOPOL
    4. WAR LORD

    2.20 Doncaster

    1. ALPHA CARINAE
    2. RAYNA'S WORLD
    3. AIRGEAD SUAS
    4. GO MILLIE GO

    2.40 Kelso

    1. ASO
    2. LAKE VIEW LAD
    3. DEFINITELY RED
    4. TWO FOR GOLD

    2.55 Doncaster

    1. ZOFFEE
    2. RETURN TICKET
    3. DUKE OF NAVAN
    4.MOVIE LEGEND

    3.15 Kelso

    1. THE SHUNTER
    2. SOLO
    3.TOMMY'S OSCAR
    4. FAIVOIR

    3.30 Doncaster

    1. JUST A STING
    2. CANELO
    3. BEWARE THE BEAR
    4. CHIDSWELL

  17. #15
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    57
    20/03

    1.50 Uttox

    1. THEME TUNE
    2. SAINT DALINA
    3. HUNTSMANS JOG
    4. ASK HENRY

    2.05 Kempton

    1. DOUKAROV
    2. ONTHEFRONTFOOT
    3. ZOFFEE
    4. FAIRWAY FREDDIE

    2.25 Uttox

    1. ST BARTS
    2. ECLAIR SURF
    3. ASK ME EARLY
    4. SEEMORELIGHTS

    2.40 Kempton


    1. SWITCH HITTER
    2. NIGHTBOATTOCLYRO
    3. DIESE DES BIEFFES
    4. BREFFIN BOY

    3.00 Uttox

    1. GUSTAVIAN
    2. WILDE ABOUT OSCAR
    3. MINT CONDITION
    4. ROCKADENN

    3.15 Kempton


    1. FALCO BLITZ
    2. MANOFTHEMOUNTAIN
    3. MY WAY
    4. VINNIE THE HODDIE

    3.35 Uttox


    1. HIGHLAND HUNTER
    2. ACHILLE
    3. SCREAMING COLOURS
    4. GOLAN FORTUNE

  18. #16
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    03/04

    1.50 Muss.

    1. Marshal Dan 2nd 9/2
    2. Stone Soldier
    3. Ejtilaab 3rd 7/1
    4. Redarna


    2.05 Haydock

    1. Shantou Express
    2. Xcitations 3rd 6/1
    3. Vision Du Puy W 11/4
    4. Dino Velvet

    2.25 Muss.

    1. Heights of Abraham
    2. Naamoos W 11/2
    3. Tornado
    4. Colonel Faulkner 3rd 9/4


    2.40 Haydock

    1. Checkitout
    2. Crossly Tender
    3. Defuture is Bright 2nd 3/1
    4. Silva Eclipse


    3.00 Muss.

    1. Count D’Orsay
    2. Came From The Dark 3rd 6/1
    3. Just Another Bottle
    4. Jabbarockie W 4/1

    3.15 Haydock

    1. Ashtown Lad NR
    2. Small Present W 10/3
    3. Iwilldoit
    4. Republican 3rd 9/1


    3.35 Muss.


    1. Cardano 2nd 7/1
    2. Nate The Great
    3. Trumpet Man
    4. Alright Sunshine
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 03-04-2021 at 15:48.

  19. #17
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    05/04 TV RATINGS

    2.40 Fairyhouse

    1. JEFF KIDDER W 5/1
    2. TEAHUPOO 2nd 4/7
    3. SCHOLASTIC 3rd 18/1
    4. COVENTRY

    2.55 Kempton

    1. LILAC ROAD W 3/1
    2. KESTENNA 2nd 11/4

    3.15 Fairyhouse

    1. MILLEN TO ONE 2nd 13/2
    2. ELLIE MAC
    3. RED GERRY
    4. IT COULD BE YOU

    3.30 Kempton

    1. KING ZAIN
    2. EL DRAMA 3rd 4/1
    3. MOSTAHDAF W 10/11
    4. IMPERIAL SANDS 2nd 7/2

    3.50 Fairyhouse

    1. FRENCH DYNAMITE 2nd 85/40
    2. UNEXPECTED DEPTH
    3. THE BOSSES OSCAR
    4. STORMY IRELAND W 7/2

    4.02 Kempton

    1. MADE IN ITALY
    2. LAVENDER’S BLUE W 3/1
    3. AMNIARIX 3rd 4/1
    4. LEAFHOPPER

    4.20 Fairyhouse

    1. BATTLEOVERDOYEN
    2. EASY GAME W 11/8
    3. FAKIR D’OUDARIES NR
    4. ANNAMIX

    4.35 Kempton

    1. STARCZEWSKI
    2. POSTILEO 2nd 15/8
    3. PRINCE IMPERIAL
    4. SLEEPING LION W 9/1

    5.00 Fairyhouse

    1. COCO BEACH
    2. LATEST EXHIBITION 4th 9/2
    3. ESCARIA TEN
    4. AGUSTA GOLD
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 05-04-2021 at 17:20.

  20. #18
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    08/04 AINTREE RATINGS

    1.45

    1. UMBRIGADO
    2. THE SHUNTER 2nd 7/2
    3. HITMAN 3rd 10/3
    4. FUSIL RAFFLES

    2.20

    1. MONMIRAL W 10/11
    2. FIVEANDTWENTY 3rd 12/1
    3. ADAGIO 2nd 13/8
    4. PAROS

    2.50

    1. CLONDAW CASTLE 2nd 13/2
    2. NATIVE RIVER 3rd 4/1
    3. TIGER ROLL
    4. CLAN DES OBEAUX W 5/2

    3.25

    1. BREWIN'UPASTORM
    2. JASON THE MILITANT
    3. SONG FOR SOMEONE
    4. McFABULOUS

    4.05

    1. SOME MAN
    2. CAT TIGER 3rd 11/2
    3. BILLAWAY
    4. LATENIGHTPASS 2nd 11/2

    4.40

    1. GETAWAY TRUMP
    2. EDITEUR DE GITE W 9/1
    3. ZANZA
    4. FRERO BANBOU 4th 10/1

    5.15

    1. EILEEN DOVER
    2. WHERE'S MAUD GONE
    3. MISS LAMB 3rd 20/1
    4. ELLE EST BELLE 2nd 5/2
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 08-04-2021 at 18:54.

  21. #19
    Degenerate Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    dublin
    Posts
    1,422
    4.40
    I also want to have a dart at one that doesn’t make the trends shortlist...

    JAN MAAT (H De Bromhead) this 8yo looks to have conditions to shoot for here...yielding or quicker ground | G3 level & below | Rachael Blackmore riding | NOT Very Undulating tracks = 612212621 (3/9, 4p)...and Henry De Bromhead has an excellent record at this meeting with his 6yo-8yo’s that race over 2m...11275315413 (4/11, 3p). There are also two pieces of ‘recent’ form from the horse that interest me; the first being his fall at Leopardstown over Xmas where he jumped the last for a share in the lead only to crash out on the landing side. He looked sure to be involved in the finish there and that race was run a good few pounds above par for the level, the race has also worked out well enough on future form with the winner winning again since and the 5th winning a valuable G2 handicap next time out. The second piece of form is his 10th in the 2020 Grand Annual at Cheltenham, a race where he turned the corner for home full of running and jumped into the lead over the second last, only to stumble badly on landing and lose his momentum. He faded up the hill, probably a combination of that mistake and the hill itself, but the run was much better than the finishing position suggests. He’ll appreciate this flatter track here and he looks interesting at bigger prices.

    From Narrowing the field (Ben)
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  22. #20
    Registered Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2021
    Posts
    57
    09/04 AINTREE RATINGS

    1.45

    1. MISTER COFFEY 4th 6/1
    2. EDWARDSTONE 3rd 7/1
    3. MONTE CRISTO
    4. DANS LE VENT 2nd 18/1

    2.20

    1. FOR PLEASURE
    2. BELFAST BANTER W 9/1
    3. THIRD TIME LUCKI
    4. HOUX GRIS

    2.50

    1. THE BIG BREAKAWAY
    2. CHANTRY HOUSE W 11/8
    3. FIDDLERONTHEROOF 3rd 15/2
    4. SHAN BLUE 2nd 9/2

    3.25

    1. NOTEBOOK
    2. FAKIR D'OUDARIES W 2/1
    3. POLITOLOGUE
    4. DASHEL DRASHER

    4.05

    1. IBLEO
    2. CARIBEAN BOY
    3. VISIO MAN
    4. SENIOR CITIZEN 3rd 10/1

    4.40

    1. CAPE GENTLEMAN
    2. OSCAR ELITE 3rd 15/2
    3. STREETS OF DOYEN
    4. BRAVEMANSGAME 2nd 13/8

    5.15

    1. LEONCAVALLO 4th 6/1
    2. TOMORROW MYSTERY
    3. BOLD ENOUGH
    4. COPPERLESS
    Last edited by Kirriemuir; 09-04-2021 at 17:54.

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