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Thread: Tips (from paid guessers)

  1. #121
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    maybe Noel has it jigging, 66s gone
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  2. #122
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    1.55 Rosie and millie 5/2 1pt win 3rd
    3.05 Schiehallion Munro 6/1 1pt win 2nd
    3.35 Bullion boss 9/1 e/w 1pt e/w 1st 10/1
    1.45 APOLLINARIS 1pt e/w 9/1 1st 6/1
    3.00 BALLYDINE 1pt e/w 28/1 tailed off
    4.10 INCLYNE 1pt e/w 10/1 6th
    2.35 TALKTOMENOW 1pt e/w 11/1 3rd
    3.07 ECTOR 1pt e/w 11/1 pu
    2.25 MAC KAYLA 14/1 2pts e/w pu
    4.15 Durdle door 2pts win 11/2 1st
    7.20 Lady of Aran 2pts e/w 12/1 3rd
    2.45 scorpion haze 1pt e/w 40/1 powers
    2.55 Gylo 2pts win 9/2 3rd 12/1
    12.50 Kitty hall 2pts e/w 15/2 2nd
    3.00 acting lass 16/1 1 pt e/w pu
    5.10 Fuwairt 11/2 1pt e/w 8th
    7.10 sparten fighter 1pt e/w 10/1 1st
    3.25 alpha des obeaux 1pt e/w 25/1 pu
    5.00 Gonna dancealot 14/1 1pt e/w 5th
    3.50 Agamemmon 2pts e/w p/u
    3.25 Pistol park 1pt e/w 20/1 9th
    1.25 fire away 20/1 1pt e/w 1st 1/1
    14.30 FIRSTEEN 1pt e/w 20/1 6th
    2.15 ask paddy 2pts e/w 8/1 3rd

    24 bets = 5 winners

    p/l +19.20pts
    Last edited by the dope; 17-02-2021 at 11:40.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  3. #123
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    no bets today but here are a few from one of the sites

    Tim Vaughan
    Bebraveforglory
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    13:35, Wetherby
    DEC Odds: 9.6 (Betfair Exc)
    A horse that's shown a bit of promise, notably last time out at Chepstow when a fair fourth in a Novice Hurdle back in November. Had a small break since and had a wind op during that time to help with his breathing. Is also expected to benefit from running in a handicap now for the first time and even though the Skelton horse is feared, feel we are not without an each-way chance here.

    Chozen
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    14:05, Wetherby
    DEC Odds: 32 (Betfair Exc)
    Hot race and returning from almost a year off here so would be a tall order. Does, however, have a very light weight (10-1), which will help in the ground and seems well at home. Plus, does actually have a fair record when fresh - last two wins came off 4 1/2 months and 8 months off, so that gives us some hope, but nice to get going with him again here.

    Charlie Fellowes
    Justicialism
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    14:15, Wolverhampton
    DEC Odds: 14 (Betfair Exc)
    Has run two solid races to date and wouldn't need to improve much to figure in what looks a weak race. He is well drawn too, which will also help. Can run well.

    Has doubled in price since 7.30am this morning 5/1 >>11/1, sire has very good record at the track so one to watch. 120/11/25 +68.42 A/E..0.93

    Oliver Sherwood
    Kaphumor
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    14:30, Hereford
    DEC Odds: 100 (Betfair Exc)
    Kaphumor has been disappointing in both of his races for me this season having won a point to point previously. He’s a horse that shows plenty at home on the gallops but he has not travelled in his races and I think he might need some form of headgear on in future and he’s most likely to go chasing after today.

    A Time To Shine
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    15:05, Hereford
    DEC Odds: 5.7 (Betfair Exc)
    A Time To Shine is a huge horse who finished third in a point to point before joining me and he has been placed in both of his hurdle runs this season. This will be his chasing debut but he jumps so well and because he’s got such an enormous stride hurdles look too small for him.

    Bassarabad
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    15:12, Wetherby
    DEC Odds: 46 (Betfair Exc)
    Had his problems in recent years so nice to get him back on the track. Dropping mark is a help and is also a past CD winner here, but returning from another 3 months off so feel he'll improve for this. He'll like the ground though and if getting back in the swing of things after a run of two can hopefully pick another up another race now back down to last winning mark.

    Daniel & Claire Kubler
    Sognatore
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:15, Kempton Park
    DEC Odds: 36 (Betfair Exc)
    Difficult to gauge the strength of the race with some smartly-bred newcomers. Sognatore has been gelded after some errant behaviour last time out - looking for better behaviour here and hopefully a better result.

    Simon Dow
    Petesorse
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:15, Kempton Park
    DEC Odds: 55 (Betfair Exc)
    Backward half brother to stable stalwart Roundabout Magic though this one will need further. Has done plenty of work and a barrier trial last year but sure to be better for the experience.

    Julia Feilden
    Saray Prince
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:15, Kempton Park
    DEC Odds: 171.43 (Betfair Exc)
    Having his third run here - he will learn more and will be more competitive once he is handicapped.

    Judex Lefou
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:35, Hereford
    DEC Odds: 34 (Betfair Exc)
    Another of ours that's on a bit of a recovery mission after some average runs at the end of last season. Has also had a wind op since his last run so we'll be hoping he can kick on now. Small break so expected to improve for the outing, but 5lbs lower than last run and Charlie's 5lb claim means we are 10lbs better off than last time. Trip and ground are fine though and slight ease in grade a further help. But really on first run back (after op) we'd like to see some improvement on the track first.

    Soyuz
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:45, Kempton Park
    DEC Odds: 19 (Betfair Exc)
    Showed a little in two starts at the backend last year and still looks progressive. Probably destined for handicaps and will get further in time. Sure to come on for this but no complete surprise if he got involved here.

    Ed Dunlop
    Global Destination
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    16:50, Wolverhampton
    DEC Odds: 24 (Betfair Exc)
    He has come out of his last race well and looks to be hopefully in a more competitive grade now. This looks a nice option for him with the Ali Stronge trained runner the horse to beat on paper. He has drawn one and Tom Eaves takes the ride.

    Francolin
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    17:05, Hereford
    DEC Odds: 29 (Betfair Exc)
    Francolin is a good looking son of Cokoriko, it’s not a sire I know but he’s got a good attitude and he enjoys his work so I would be happy to have more. He was kindly sent to me by his breeder, he was due to run in point to points but that has obviously been curtailed this spring. He’s not been with me for very long but he does go nicely enough.


    Raha
    Wed 17th Feb 2021
    19:20, Kempton Park
    DEC Odds: 10 (Betfair Exc)
    Has run respectably in two runs this year - the step up to a mile will suit. She is dropped in grade here and couldn't be in better form at home. She has a good each-way chance at a nice price.
    Last edited by the dope; 17-02-2021 at 12:13.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  4. #124
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    Newbury 1.50 Polish 2pts e/w
    20/1 6 places skybet
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  5. 3 Thanks from:
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  6. #125
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    Its Sunday so most of you can log into the site, you will see what Paddy thinks of the horse there, best price after the email sent was 28s bigger prices all ready gone, 30/1 with the booster from Hills but less places.

    Also a snippet from Ben

    LOSTINTRANSLATION (C Tizzard) has been disappointing this season but they’ve sent him for a wind-op again and given he finished a close 3rd in the Gold Cup the last time he had the op it does just make me sit up and take note a bit (there are also the Tizzard first time up off a wind-op stats to keep in mind… C Tizzard | Horses on first run off a wind-op | fields of 10 or less | 5 or less starts in last 365 days | SP 7/1 or less = 10/22 | 45% S/R | +27.07 BFLSP – W&P 14/22 | 64% S/R – 100% above exp). He is a horse I feel is at his absolute best off shorter breaks but again that Gold Cup third came off a longer break (78 days) so he can do it if all other conditions are in his favour, which they do appear to be here… 0-2 previous starts in season | Galloping tracks | Soft or Good to Soft = 1113122 (4/7, 2p - 4 of 5 career wins). It’s a Tizzard horse so it comes with it’s own warning right now but at 4-1+ in this field I thought it worth having a crack at, with conditions to suit and the first time up off a wind-op hopefully having an impact.


    Pebbly New Moon
    Sun 21st Feb 2021
    15:07, Uttoxeter
    DEC Odds: 4 (Betfair Exc)

    Pebbly ran well first time out at Hereford when finishing third, it was his first outing for eighteen months and only his second ever race so there’s going to be a lot of improvement in him. Pebbly is a big horse who is going to be a cracking staying chaser once he’s gained some racing experience, I’ve given him plenty of time to recover from that race and the conditions and trip today should be perfect for him. Harry rides to take off 5lbs too, so that helps - should have every chance and looking forward to seeing him run.
    Last edited by the dope; 21-02-2021 at 13:37.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  7. #126
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    whatsapp going around if it is recently/lately he is in BIG trouble. Idiot.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  8. #127
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    Newbury 1.50 Polish 2pts e/w 1st
    20/1 6 places skybet

    48 pts profit on race


    1.55 Rosie and millie 5/2 1pt win 3rd
    3.05 Schiehallion Munro 6/1 1pt win 2nd
    3.35 Bullion boss 9/1 e/w 1pt e/w 1st 10/1
    1.45 APOLLINARIS 1pt e/w 9/1 1st 6/1
    3.00 BALLYDINE 1pt e/w 28/1 tailed off
    4.10 INCLYNE 1pt e/w 10/1 6th
    2.35 TALKTOMENOW 1pt e/w 11/1 3rd
    3.07 ECTOR 1pt e/w 11/1 pu
    2.25 MAC KAYLA 14/1 2pts e/w pu
    4.15 Durdle door 2pts win 11/2 1st
    7
    .20 Lady of Aran 2pts e/w 12/1 3rd
    2.45 scorpion haze 1pt e/w 40/1 powers
    2.55 Gylo 2pts win 9/2 3rd 12/1
    12.50 Kitty hall 2pts e/w 15/2 2nd
    3.00 acting lass 16/1 1 pt e/w pu
    5.10 Fuwairt 11/2 1pt e/w 8th
    7.10 sparten fighter 1pt e/w 10/1 1st
    3.25 alpha des obeaux 1pt e/w 25/1 pu
    5.00 Gonna dancealot 14/1 1pt e/w 5th
    3.50 Agamemmon 2pts e/w p/u
    3.25 Pistol park 1pt e/w 20/1 9th
    1.25 fire away 20/1 1pt e/w 1st 1/1
    14.30 FIRSTEEN 1pt e/w 20/1 6th
    2.15 ask paddy 2pts e/w 8/1 3rd

    1.50 polish 2pt e/w 20/1 1st 14/1

    25 bets = 6 winners

    p/l +67.20pts
    Last edited by the dope; 21-02-2021 at 16:30.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  9. #128
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    He is the nap Ffs

    5th and drifted like a barge

    Really shocking stuff.
    Last edited by the dope; 21-02-2021 at 17:19.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  10. #129
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    The Monday system.....20/1

    Hold yer fire, Hold yer fire
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  11. #130
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    5.40 Eniatchess 8/1 1pt e/w boyles 4 places

    sire....wolverhamton/ 3yr old / 156 / 22 / 43 / +132.31 / A/E 1.39 /
    Last edited by the dope; 22-02-2021 at 12:08.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  12. 1 Thanks from:
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  13. #131
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    If you are looking from the darkside

    Tikkanen progeny runs at Carlisle (Cairnshill)

    Last two years
    All hurdle turf....121 runs/10 wins/25 places/ A/E 1.16
    Handicap hurdle only....84 runs/10 wins/24 places/ A/E 1.28

    Expect a few quid for JUST GEORGIE one of the services gave it out
    Last edited by the dope; 21-02-2021 at 22:59.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  14. #132
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    Quote Originally Posted by the dope View Post
    5.40 Eniatchess 8/1 1pt e/w boyles 4 places

    sire....wolverhamton/ 3yr old / 156 / 22 / 43 / +132.31 / A/E 1.39 /

    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  15. #133
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    this outfit don't give many 2 pt win bets may interest some on here

    #1 – 1.15 Southwell – Trincomalee – 2pts win – 4/1 (gen)
    There are reasons for giving this frustrating novice another chance on what promises to be better ground than he has been facing of late, with the step up to 3m looking a good call. A deluge put paid to his chances at Doncaster in November and the ground again looked an issue when fourth in a better race than this at Market Rasen next time. Having had wind surgery, he enjoyed a racecourse gallop 11 days ago which should clear the pipes, and now down to a very favourable mark he can take advantage of the drop in grade with trainer Lucy Wadham going well.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  16. #134
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    Quote Originally Posted by the dope View Post
    Chookie Orla

  17. #135
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    Quote Originally Posted by the dope View Post
    5.40 Eniatchess 8/1 1pt e/w boyles 4 places

    sire....wolverhamton/ 3yr old / 156 / 22 / 43 / +132.31 / A/E 1.39 /
    Chookie Orla

  18. 1 Thanks from:
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  19. #136
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    5.40 Eniatchess 8/1 1pt e/w boyles 4 places 1st 6/1... 9.6pts profit


    1.55 Rosie and millie 5/2 1pt win 3rd

    3.05 Schiehallion Munro 6/1 1pt win 2nd
    3.35 Bullion boss 9/1 e/w 1pt e/w 1st 10/1
    1.45 APOLLINARIS 1pt e/w 9/1 1st 6/1
    3.00 BALLYDINE 1pt e/w 28/1 tailed off
    4.10 INCLYNE 1pt e/w 10/1 6th
    2.35 TALKTOMENOW 1pt e/w 11/1 3rd
    3.07 ECTOR 1pt e/w 11/1 pu
    2.25 MAC KAYLA 14/1 2pts e/w pu
    4.15 Durdle door 2pts win 11/2 1st
    7.20 Lady of Aran 2pts e/w 12/1 3rd
    2.45 scorpion haze 1pt e/w 40/1 powers
    2.55 Gylo 2pts win 9/2 3rd 12/1
    12.50 Kitty hall 2pts e/w 15/2 2nd
    3.00 acting lass 16/1 1 pt e/w pu
    5.10 Fuwairt 11/2 1pt e/w 8th
    7.10 sparten fighter 1pt e/w 10/1 1st
    3.25 alpha des obeaux 1pt e/w 25/1 pu
    5.00 Gonna dancealot 14/1 1pt e/w 5th
    3.50 Agamemmon 2pts e/w p/u
    3.25 Pistol park 1pt e/w 20/1 9th
    1.25 fire away 20/1 1pt e/w 1st 1/1
    14.30 FIRSTEEN 1pt e/w 20/1 6th
    2.15 ask paddy 2pts e/w 8/1 3rd

    1.50 polish 2pt e/w 20/1 1st 14/1
    5.40 Enaitchess 1pt e/w 8/1 1st 6/1

    26 bets = 7 winners

    p/l +76.80pts
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  20. 1 Thanks from:
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  21. #137
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    6.40 papa stour 1pt e/w 28/1 four places skybet
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  22. #138
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    Quote Originally Posted by the dope View Post
    6.40 papa stour 1pt e/w 28/1 four places skybet

    This could be 50s in the morning so we may know our faith before noon tomorrow.

    Papa was 6th in this race last year btn 2 and 1/2L. Not only has he to turn the result around with the winner, the second placed horse also runs so he has a job on his hands.
    Strange jockey bookings, the trainers last 20 runners seven of them were ridden by the stable apprentice (Magiani)
    sp's were 6/5f...3/1....4/1....5/1....11/1...5/4f...3/1
    two favs and four of the others under 5/1
    last 30 days jockey is 11/2/6....54% place
    last 12 months jockey is 83/11/33/ 39% place

    I am hoping PAPA is not there as a pace maker for his stable mate LORD RAPSCALLION as he is ridden by a jockey whom the trainer has booked only twice in the last 12 months....1 winner and 1 place

    Papa has raced at the course three times before and although he has it to do, he may run a little better than his price indicates reading into jockey arrangements or he may be the pacemaker.
    Last edited by the dope; 23-02-2021 at 09:17.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  23. #139
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    2.15 Lickpenny Larry 1pt e/w 7/1

    Chases....24/4/7

    Yet to race at todays course however there is reason to believe it may suit him.

    Sire SAGAMIX progeny at the Wetherby is

    Last two years...all races......75/10/23....+27.00
    Last two years...Handicaps....58/10/20....+44.00

    Chase...37/8/16....+17.00


    Also

    6.40 papa stour 1pt e/w 28/1 four places skybet
    Last edited by the dope; 23-02-2021 at 09:42.
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

  24. #140
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    Quote Originally Posted by the dope View Post
    whatsapp going around if it is recently/lately he is in BIG trouble. Idiot.

    All over the place now hope for his sake its a very old video
    horse racing is a tax on the stupid.

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