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Thread: 100 Bets to Broke Again Flat & Last of the Jumps

  1. #1
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    100 Bets to Broke Again Flat & Last of the Jumps

    Here we go again.

    4:40 Windsor

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    Last edited by aidankk; 04-04-2011 at 09:58.
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  2. #2
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    no need to wish you good luck as I'm sure this will be another profitable thread

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    4:15 Aintree

    Mamlook: I had a feeling he would win something at aintree, and altough not amazing value at 7.5 on Betfair, he just looks the most likely winner here. Even tough he is 6lbs out of the handicap (but with a good 5lbs claimer on), this is exactly the type of race for him. his jumping should improve with only 9:9 on his back , and the flat track here should be perfect. There is a bit of cut in the going which will also suit.

    2 Points win Betfair
    Last edited by aidankk; 06-04-2011 at 23:45.
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    5:25 Aintree

    Afsoun: Had a look at a few of his runs this year, and he looks to have a bit of a chance here. He started the year of with a good 3rd of 90 in a flat handicap and to me looked to be going well in a 3m handicap at cheltenham when brought down and the 3rd last. His 3rd in his last run behind Celestial Halo and Trenchant, makes his mark here of 137 look very decent, considering he was only 6 lnegths behind trenchant there and he is a solid 150 horse. He has a good 3lbs claimer on and the trip should be ideal. He is currently 110 win and 15.5 place on betfair

    1 Point win 1 Point Place
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  5. #5
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    Ante Post National

    Calgary Bay: He has been very good this year and his last 2 runs in Cheltenham 2m5f hot handicaps have decent. He is a decent jumper and if he can hunt around the first circuit he may be able to stay the extra trip. He just looks overpriced on betfair at 50 win 11 place. Im sure he will be shorter on the day. The trainer really wont send anything to this race unless she thinks it will suit. Altough he has had 2 poor enough runs at this meeting last 2 years, this year he has had a decent break since january and that should help

    1 Point Win 1 Point Place
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    5:25 Aintree

    Get me Out Of Here: He ran a super race in the County Hurdle, just getting nabbed when it looked like he had it won. He seems to only want to do enough to win, and should be able to stand his 5lbs rise here in a much weaker race. I dont think there is any doubt he should go of shorter than the 9.8 that is available now, and in my view he should be FAV. It is a step up in trip but he looks as tough that will suit.

    2 Points Win Betfair 9.8
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    3:40 Aintree

    Boxer Georg: I just cant let a Mullins horse go of at 50/1 at aintree without having small bet. He ran well in his 3rd last run when running on well for 2nd over 2m4f on heavy. He didnt really do anything his next 2 races, but here hoping the better ground and 2m6f trip give him a small chance. Its hard to see Baby Run winning after his excertions at the festival and im having difficutly picking anything elso to beat him. He is currently 50 win 12 place on betfair

    1 Point win 1 Point Place
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    2:30 Aintree

    Houblon Des Obeaux : Struggling to get the first 2 in the betting beat here, but i think this is the value of the race. The softer going will definatly help here as will the possibility of a bit slower pace than the festival. He has beaten Kumbeshwar and local hero before on soft and i like his chances of placing here. He looks a bit overpriced at 32 win 5 place.

    .5 Point win 1 Point Place
    Last edited by aidankk; 07-04-2011 at 11:32.
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    2:00 Aintree

    Thanks to nulty to alerting me to this market

    http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-rac...4:00/w-o-big-2

    I really like Sentry Duty in that Market @ 6/1 , he has had a decent break which is always an advantage with him, he had a excellent run in the Cesarewitch of 102 on the flat. He has a 111 record when fresh.. If he can travel as well as he often does for this trip, that might look a big price. The softer going will only help, (altough in fairness help the big two as well).

    2 Points win 6/1 Bet365 or Totesport without the big 2.

    Cant resist .5 point win on betfair at 50 on Betfair just in case.
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  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by aidankk View Post
    3:40 Aintree

    Boxer Georg: I just cant let a Mullins horse go of at 50/1 at aintree without having small bet. He ran well in his 3rd last run when running on well for 2nd over 2m4f on heavy. He didnt really do anything his next 2 races, but here hoping the better ground and 2m6f trip give him a small chance. Its hard to see Baby Run winning after his excertions at the festival and im having difficutly picking anything elso to beat him. He is currently 50 win 12 place on betfair

    1 Point win 1 Point Place


    nnnnnnnnnnnnnooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo oooooooooooooo

    I was sure he had it, poor jump at the last put paid to it.. Still 12 to place
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    Good shout think the last fence done you aidan unlucky but nice place

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    + 4.5 Point Yesterday

    Tread 7 Bets +2.5 BSP + 3.5 Advised. Not run yet 2 Points
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    3:40 Aintree

    Chasing Cars: Really looks a good ground hrose on the evidence of his runaway win last year at punchestown. Altough the ground is good/soft this should still suit him in comparison to what he has run on this year so far. He has had only 2 runs this year, and the trainer record of sending horses over to the uk in recent years is very good. Hopefully he takes to these fences.

    1 Point Each Way 20/1 paying 12345
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    2:30 Aintree

    The Giant Bolster: with many of the others having gone at the festival, particulary the RSA, teh fact the the selection fell early in that race means he should be fresher for this race than the others. His jumping needs to improve but its not as difficult as Cheltenham. The long run in will definatly suit him and he tent to find loads at the end of his races. The ground should be against Quito De La Roque, and that leaves a lot of the field ruled out in one way of the other. He looks overpriced at 10.5 on Betfair

    2 Points Win.
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    4:50 aintree

    Pistolet Noir: Good 3rd at this meeting last year when staying on in a 2m4f handicap hurdle of the same mark, and not so bad in the Coral Cup when slightly outpaced. The Step up in trip should suit and so should the good ground. He looks overpriced and will surly get backed in as Ruby is up on him for the first time since aintree last year. Currently 21 win 4.8 place

    1 Point win 1 Point Place
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    3:40 Aintree

    Fistral Beach: If he can be forgiven his run in the racing post chase, where he was send of fav but hit the first and never got going, he might stand a small chance here. Aintree over the Big Fences allways seems to suit strong travellers, and altough the ground is not ideal he does have hurdles form on good ground. He has been a dissapointing horse so far in his career but he looks a bit overpriced in this race at 40/1 EW with Stan James and VCBET paying 12345 places. Amazingly this will be the first race in his carreer he doesnt start FAV, and Sodds law alone warrents a small bet

    1 Point EW 40/1 12345
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    4:50 aintree

    Viking Bond. He is a consistant 3m handicap hurdler whose 3rd in a good race at Cheltenham in December of only 1lb lower on good ground, has to put him in with a half decent chance here. He is well overpirced on betfair at 55 win 10 place on that form. He also ran well enough at the festival to be 7th in the Pertempts.

    1 Point win 1 Point Place
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    4:15 Aintree

    Yurok: Looking trough this race for something that didnt run at the festival, and this one just loosing out to Battlegroup in his last run looks to be a bit of value at a big price. Battlegroup was a good staying on 4th in the Coral Cup. Im hoping the better ground and step up in trip will suit him and he looks a bit overpriced at 38 win 8 place

    1 Point win 1 Point Place
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    2:00 Aintree

    Brampour: Probably has been a bit dissapointing given his good flat form and home reputation, but he ran well in the triumph until fading after the last, and the 2m here is far easier and that may suit him better. There doesnt seem to be any real superstars in this race and with his 4yo allowence he looks to have a decent chance.

    1 Point win 9/1 Bet365 & Coral
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  20. #20
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    4:50 Aintree

    Shocking to have 3 in the one race but just noticed that Superior Wisdom, was 3rd in this 2 years ago of near this mark, has been lightly raced since, and may be ready for this at a good price.

    1 Point win 50 Betfair 1Point Place 9.0
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