Yesterday was a little bit frustrating to say the least. Ivawood lost out by the narrowest of margins and unfortunately I didn’t follow my own advice after saying I thought Charming Thought may have been rated 20lb inferior because of the opposition he had beaten rather than his ability. I think the form should stand up next year as they continue as 3yos. Equally Fast was a shade disappointing after stumbling out of the stalls and bumping a rival. I think it best to write off that run today and give him the benefit of the doubt for it. Future Champions Day winners will hopefully be doing just that and showcasing the form next year and showing that Champions Weekend is here to stay.
Leading Light runs in the opening Long Distance Cup at 1.45 Ascot and he has the form in the book to land this 2m Group 2 on Champions Day. He is favourite and on what he has done, deserves to be. I would have had him as a 5/4 favourite myself but bookies are winning from leg 1 of Champions weekend and seem to be willing to take him on. He looks to only have to beat Forgotten Rules who has been impressive in both of his starts but does lack the experience of Leading Light. He looks to have the measure of Estimate especially on this ground. I think it was a riding error that caught him in the Irish Leger last time and I think 5/2 is a very generous price.
Zinnobar runs in the 8.15 Wolverhampton for Johnny Portman and Danny Brock. She has the form to make it 3 wins from 4 runs. She won twice before running into Alba Verde who was winning the first leg of her hat-trick on that occasion. She has gone up 4lb for that but it shouldn’t be enough to stop her as she was 7l ahead of the 3rd last time. She was also running over 1f further that day too and both wins have come over today’s distance.
Bets: 1pt win double